Target Price Playground
DLB
$60.61
๐ข
DLB IV: 32.3% โ LOW
(-63.0% vs 30d avg of 87.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $53 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $61 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.24 ยท ฮ -0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DLB hits $53 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$476 (147.2%) on $324 risked, vs $-761 (-12.6%) for 100 shares on $6,061. Options give 11.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DLB is at $53. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DLB hits $53 by Jun 19
+$476
+147.2% on $324 risked
Max Profit
+$5,776
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$324
Premium paid
Break-even
$57.76
-4.7% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
36%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-46.74 / -2.06 / 10.33
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DLB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $48 (-20%) | +$893 | +$898 | +$910 | +$927 |
| $52 (-15%) | +$618 | +$610 | +$610 | +$624 |
| $53 (-13%) โ target | +$494 | +$477 | +$467 | +$476 |
| $55 (-10%) | +$372 | +$346 | +$322 | +$321 |
| $58 (-5%) | +$164 | +$122 | +$70 | +$18 |
| $59 (-2%) | +$60 | +$11 | -$53 | -$164 |
| $61 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$51 | -$119 | -$285 |
| $62 (+2%) | -$53 | -$105 | -$174 | -$324 |
| $64 (+5%) | -$121 | -$171 | -$235 | -$324 |
| $67 (+10%) | -$203 | -$245 | -$292 | -$324 |
| $70 (+15%) | -$256 | -$287 | -$315 | -$324 |
| $73 (+20%) | -$287 | -$308 | -$322 | -$324 |
Uses DLB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.