Target Price Playground
DLB
$60.61
๐ข
DLB IV: 32.3% โ LOW
(-63.0% vs 30d avg of 87.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $68 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $60.61 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DLB hits $68 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$739 (12.2%) on $6,061 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DLB hits $68 by Jun 19
+$739
+12.2% on $6,061 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$6,061
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$60.61
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
37%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DLB Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $48 (-20%) | -$1,212 | -$1,212 | -$1,212 |
| $52 (-15%) | -$909 | -$909 | -$909 |
| $55 (-10%) | -$606 | -$606 | -$606 |
| $58 (-5%) | -$303 | -$303 | -$303 |
| $59 (-2%) | -$121 | -$121 | -$121 |
| $61 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $62 (+2%) | +$121 | +$121 | +$121 |
| $64 (+5%) | +$303 | +$303 | +$303 |
| $67 (+10%) | +$606 | +$606 | +$606 |
| $68 (+12%) โ target | +$739 | +$739 | +$739 |
| $70 (+15%) | +$909 | +$909 | +$909 |
| $73 (+20%) | +$1,212 | +$1,212 | +$1,212 |
Uses DLB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.