Target Price Playground
DLB
$60.61
๐ข
DLB IV: 32.3% โ LOW
(-63.0% vs 30d avg of 87.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $67 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $60.61 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $58 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.9 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DLB hits $67 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$449 (7.2%) on $6,251 risked, vs +$639 (10.5%) for 100 shares on $6,061. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DLB is at $67. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DLB hits $67 by Jun 19
+$449
+7.2% on $6,251 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$451
Put floors you at $58
Break-even
$62.51
+3.14% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
44%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
67.42 / -1.96 / 9.36
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DLB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $48 (-20%) | -$463 | -$468 | -$465 | -$451 |
| $52 (-15%) | -$411 | -$433 | -$453 | -$451 |
| $55 (-10%) | -$320 | -$359 | -$407 | -$451 |
| $58 (-5%) | -$183 | -$231 | -$296 | -$451 |
| $59 (-2%) | -$78 | -$127 | -$192 | -$311 |
| $61 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$47 | -$108 | -$190 |
| $62 (+2%) | +$85 | +$40 | -$15 | -$69 |
| $64 (+5%) | +$223 | +$183 | +$140 | +$113 |
| $67 (+11%) โ target | +$505 | +$478 | +$455 | +$449 |
| $70 (+15%) | +$750 | +$732 | +$721 | +$719 |
| $73 (+20%) | +$1,037 | +$1,027 | +$1,022 | +$1,022 |
Uses DLB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.