Target Price Playground
DLB
$60.61
๐ข
DLB IV: 32.3% โ LOW
(-63.0% vs 30d avg of 87.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $70 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $61 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.35 ยท ฮ 0.53
LONG PUT ยท $61 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.24 ยท ฮ -0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DLB hits $70 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$241 (36.7%) on $659 risked, vs +$939 (15.5%) for 100 shares on $6,061. Options give 2.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DLB is at $70. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DLB hits $70 by Jun 19
+$241
+36.7% on $659 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$659
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$54.41
-10.22% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
26%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
6.51 / -4.87 / 20.65
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DLB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $48 (-20%) | +$574 | +$568 | +$575 | +$592 |
| $52 (-15%) | +$328 | +$295 | +$278 | +$289 |
| $55 (-10%) | +$138 | +$70 | +$5 | -$14 |
| $58 (-5%) | +$25 | -$76 | -$196 | -$317 |
| $59 (-2%) | -$1 | -$114 | -$259 | -$499 |
| $61 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$118 | -$272 | -$620 |
| $62 (+2%) | +$14 | -$105 | -$260 | -$577 |
| $64 (+5%) | +$62 | -$55 | -$201 | -$395 |
| $67 (+10%) | +$200 | +$99 | -$11 | -$92 |
| $70 (+15%) โ target | +$420 | +$344 | +$275 | +$241 |
| $73 (+20%) | +$638 | +$580 | +$536 | +$514 |
Uses DLB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.