Target Price Playground
DOCU
$42.89
๐ข
DOCU IV: 54.7% โ LOW
(-36.5% vs 30d avg of 86.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $48 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $43 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.21 ยท ฮ 0.56
SHORT CALL ยท $46 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.0 ยท ฮ 0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DOCU hits $48 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$179 (148.3%) on $121 risked, vs +$511 (11.9%) for 100 shares on $4,289. Options give 12.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DOCU is at $48. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DOCU hits $48 by Jun 19
+$179
+148.3% on $121 risked
Max Profit
+$179
If the stock โฅ $46 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$121
Net debit
Break-even
$44.21
+3.07% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
11.17 / -0.04 / -0.01
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DOCU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $34 (-20%) | -$85 | -$96 | -$112 | -$121 |
| $36 (-15%) | -$67 | -$79 | -$99 | -$121 |
| $39 (-10%) | -$47 | -$57 | -$77 | -$121 |
| $41 (-5%) | -$24 | -$30 | -$46 | -$121 |
| $42 (-2%) | -$10 | -$14 | -$23 | -$121 |
| $43 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$2 | -$8 | -$121 |
| $44 (+2%) | +$9 | +$10 | +$9 | -$46 |
| $45 (+5%) | +$24 | +$27 | +$33 | +$82 |
| $47 (+10%) | +$46 | +$55 | +$71 | +$179 |
| $48 (+12%) โ target | +$55 | +$65 | +$84 | +$179 |
| $49 (+15%) | +$68 | +$80 | +$103 | +$179 |
| $51 (+20%) | +$87 | +$102 | +$129 | +$179 |
Uses DOCU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.