Target Price Playground
DOCU
$42.89
๐ข
DOCU IV: 55.0% โ LOW
(-36.1% vs 30d avg of 86.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $41 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $43 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.66 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $41 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.98 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DOCU hits $41 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$194 (115.1%) on $168 risked, vs $-189 (-4.4%) for 100 shares on $4,289. Options give 26.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DOCU is at $41. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DOCU hits $41 by Jun 19
+$194
+115.1% on $168 risked
Max Profit
+$192
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$154
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$45.27
+5.56% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
85%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-6.44 / 0.41 / 1.68
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DOCU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $34 (-20%) | +$32 | +$41 | +$51 | +$37 |
| $36 (-15%) | +$29 | +$42 | +$60 | +$64 |
| $39 (-10%) | +$23 | +$37 | +$61 | +$111 |
| $41 (-4%) โ target | +$12 | +$25 | +$51 | +$194 |
| $42 (-2%) | +$6 | +$18 | +$42 | +$138 |
| $43 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$12 | +$33 | +$95 |
| $44 (+2%) | -$5 | +$5 | +$23 | +$57 |
| $45 (+5%) | -$14 | -$6 | +$6 | +$9 |
| $47 (+10%) | -$30 | -$27 | -$24 | -$54 |
| $49 (+15%) | -$46 | -$48 | -$54 | -$97 |
| $51 (+20%) | -$62 | -$68 | -$81 | -$126 |
Uses DOCU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.