Target Price Playground
DOCU
$42.89
๐ข
DOCU IV: 55.0% โ LOW
(-36.1% vs 30d avg of 86.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $38 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $43 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.97 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DOCU hits $38 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$103 (26.1%) on $397 risked, vs $-489 (-11.4%) for 100 shares on $4,289. Options give 2.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DOCU is at $38. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DOCU hits $38 by Jun 19
+$103
+26.1% on $397 risked
Max Profit
+$3,903
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$397
Premium paid
Break-even
$39.03
-8.99% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
63%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-44.28 / -2.75 / 7.26
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DOCU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $34 (-20%) | +$527 | +$498 | +$473 | +$472 |
| $36 (-15%) | +$367 | +$325 | +$279 | +$257 |
| $38 (-11%) โ target | +$264 | +$213 | +$152 | +$103 |
| $39 (-10%) | +$226 | +$172 | +$106 | +$43 |
| $41 (-5%) | +$103 | +$41 | -$41 | -$172 |
| $42 (-2%) | +$39 | -$27 | -$114 | -$300 |
| $43 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$68 | -$157 | -$386 |
| $44 (+2%) | -$37 | -$105 | -$195 | -$397 |
| $45 (+5%) | -$87 | -$155 | -$243 | -$397 |
| $47 (+10%) | -$157 | -$223 | -$304 | -$397 |
| $49 (+15%) | -$214 | -$274 | -$343 | -$397 |
| $51 (+20%) | -$258 | -$311 | -$367 | -$397 |
Uses DOCU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.