Target Price Playground
DOCU
$42.89
๐ข
DOCU IV: 55.0% โ LOW
(-36.1% vs 30d avg of 86.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $48 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $42.89 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DOCU hits $48 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$511 (11.9%) on $4,289 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DOCU hits $48 by Jun 19
+$511
+11.9% on $4,289 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$4,289
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$42.89
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DOCU Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $34 (-20%) | -$858 | -$858 | -$858 |
| $36 (-15%) | -$643 | -$643 | -$643 |
| $39 (-10%) | -$429 | -$429 | -$429 |
| $41 (-5%) | -$214 | -$214 | -$214 |
| $42 (-2%) | -$86 | -$86 | -$86 |
| $43 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $44 (+2%) | +$86 | +$86 | +$86 |
| $45 (+5%) | +$214 | +$214 | +$214 |
| $47 (+10%) | +$429 | +$429 | +$429 |
| $48 (+12%) โ target | +$511 | +$511 | +$511 |
| $49 (+15%) | +$643 | +$643 | +$643 |
| $51 (+20%) | +$858 | +$858 | +$858 |
Uses DOCU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.