Target Price Playground
DOCU
$42.89
๐ข
DOCU IV: 55.0% โ LOW
(-36.1% vs 30d avg of 86.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $49 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $43 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.21 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $43 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.97 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DOCU hits $49 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-218 (-26.6%) on $818 risked, vs +$611 (14.2%) for 100 shares on $4,289. Options give 1.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DOCU is at $49. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DOCU hits $49 by Jun 19
$-218
-26.6% on $818 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$818
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$34.82
-18.8% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
55%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
11.43 / -6.03 / 14.51
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DOCU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $34 (-20%) | +$197 | +$126 | +$65 | +$51 |
| $36 (-15%) | +$92 | -$5 | -$108 | -$164 |
| $39 (-10%) | +$24 | -$96 | -$240 | -$378 |
| $41 (-5%) | -$7 | -$144 | -$319 | -$593 |
| $42 (-2%) | -$7 | -$151 | -$337 | -$721 |
| $43 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$147 | -$337 | -$807 |
| $44 (+2%) | +$12 | -$135 | -$327 | -$743 |
| $45 (+5%) | +$41 | -$106 | -$296 | -$615 |
| $47 (+10%) | +$115 | -$27 | -$201 | -$400 |
| $49 (+14%) โ target | +$199 | +$66 | -$88 | -$218 |
| $51 (+20%) | +$342 | +$224 | +$101 | +$29 |
Uses DOCU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.