Target Price Playground
DT
$33.59
๐ข
DT IV: 46.8% โ LOW
(-33.8% vs 30d avg of 70.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $30 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $34 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.08 ยท ฮ -0.46
SHORT PUT ยท $31 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.67 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DT hits $30 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$160 (114.0%) on $140 risked, vs $-359 (-10.7%) for 100 shares on $3,359. Options give 10.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DT is at $30. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DT hits $30 by Jun 19
+$160
+114.0% on $140 risked
Max Profit
+$160
If the stock โค $31 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$140
Net debit
Break-even
$32.60
-2.95% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
63%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-15.58 / -0.18 / 0.66
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $27 (-20%) | +$103 | +$116 | +$136 | +$159 |
| $29 (-15%) | +$79 | +$90 | +$111 | +$159 |
| $30 (-11%) โ target | +$57 | +$64 | +$80 | +$159 |
| $32 (-5%) | +$26 | +$27 | +$30 | +$68 |
| $33 (-2%) | +$10 | +$7 | +$2 | -$33 |
| $34 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | -$6 | -$16 | -$100 |
| $34 (+2%) | -$11 | -$18 | -$33 | -$141 |
| $35 (+5%) | -$26 | -$36 | -$56 | -$141 |
| $37 (+10%) | -$49 | -$62 | -$87 | -$141 |
| $39 (+15%) | -$68 | -$84 | -$109 | -$141 |
| $40 (+20%) | -$84 | -$100 | -$123 | -$141 |
Uses DT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.