Target Price Playground
DT
$33.59
๐ข
DT IV: 46.8% โ LOW
(-33.8% vs 30d avg of 70.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $35 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
SHORT PUT ยท $31 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.67 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Cash-Secured Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DT hits $35 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$167 (5.7%) on $-167 credit (max loss $2,933), vs +$141 (4.2%) for 100 shares on $3,359. Options give 1.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DT is at $35. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DT hits $35 by Jun 19
+$167
+5.7% on $2,933 max loss
Max Profit
+$167
If the stock โฅ $31 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$2,933
If stock โ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$29.33
-12.7% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
85%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
30.64 / 1.83 / -5.05
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $27 (-20%) | -$329 | -$299 | -$265 | -$246 |
| $29 (-15%) | -$222 | -$183 | -$135 | -$78 |
| $30 (-10%) | -$132 | -$88 | -$30 | +$90 |
| $32 (-5%) | -$59 | -$13 | +$47 | +$167 |
| $33 (-2%) | -$22 | +$23 | +$81 | +$167 |
| $34 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$44 | +$99 | +$167 |
| $34 (+2%) | +$19 | +$62 | +$114 | +$167 |
| $35 (+4%) โ target | +$38 | +$79 | +$127 | +$167 |
| $37 (+10%) | +$79 | +$114 | +$149 | +$167 |
| $39 (+15%) | +$105 | +$133 | +$159 | +$167 |
| $40 (+20%) | +$123 | +$146 | +$163 | +$167 |
Uses DT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.