Target Price Playground
DT
$33.59
๐ข
DT IV: 46.8% โ LOW
(-33.8% vs 30d avg of 70.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $36 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $33.59 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $36 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.16 ยท ฮ 0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DT hits $36 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$457 (14.5%) on $3,143 risked, vs +$241 (7.2%) for 100 shares on $3,359. Options give 2.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DT is at $36. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DT hits $36 by Jun 19
+$457
+14.5% on $3,143 risked
Max Profit
+$457
If the stock โฅ $36 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$3,143
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$31.43
-6.42% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
75%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.33 / 2.37 / -5.67
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $27 (-20%) | -$490 | -$471 | -$458 | -$456 |
| $29 (-15%) | -$348 | -$319 | -$295 | -$288 |
| $30 (-10%) | -$218 | -$179 | -$139 | -$120 |
| $32 (-5%) | -$102 | -$53 | +$3 | +$48 |
| $33 (-2%) | -$38 | +$15 | +$80 | +$149 |
| $34 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$57 | +$126 | +$216 |
| $34 (+2%) | +$37 | +$96 | +$169 | +$283 |
| $35 (+5%) | +$88 | +$149 | +$227 | +$384 |
| $36 (+7%) โ target | +$121 | +$184 | +$263 | +$457 |
| $37 (+10%) | +$161 | +$224 | +$304 | +$457 |
| $39 (+15%) | +$221 | +$283 | +$358 | +$457 |
| $40 (+20%) | +$270 | +$328 | +$395 | +$457 |
Uses DT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.