Target Price Playground
DT
$33.59
๐ข
DT IV: 46.8% โ LOW
(-33.8% vs 30d avg of 70.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $32 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $34 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.58 ยท ฮ -0.45
SHORT PUT ยท $32 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.09 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DT hits $32 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$150 (100.3%) on $150 risked, vs $-159 (-4.7%) for 100 shares on $3,359. Options give 21.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DT is at $32. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DT hits $32 by Jun 19
+$150
+100.3% on $150 risked
Max Profit
+$145
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$140
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$34.98
+4.12% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
83%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-8.98 / 0.29 / 1.41
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $27 (-20%) | +$41 | +$49 | +$57 | +$50 |
| $29 (-15%) | +$35 | +$46 | +$60 | +$66 |
| $30 (-10%) | +$26 | +$38 | +$57 | +$97 |
| $32 (-5%) โ target | +$14 | +$24 | +$44 | +$150 |
| $33 (-2%) | +$6 | +$16 | +$33 | +$96 |
| $34 (0%) โ spot | +$1 | +$9 | +$23 | +$61 |
| $34 (+2%) | -$6 | +$1 | +$13 | +$30 |
| $35 (+5%) | -$15 | -$11 | -$4 | -$11 |
| $37 (+10%) | -$32 | -$31 | -$33 | -$62 |
| $39 (+15%) | -$48 | -$51 | -$60 | -$97 |
| $40 (+20%) | -$63 | -$70 | -$84 | -$119 |
Uses DT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.