Target Price Playground
DT
$33.59
๐ข
DT IV: 46.8% โ LOW
(-33.8% vs 30d avg of 70.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $30 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $34 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.08 ยท ฮ -0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DT hits $30 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$92 (30.0%) on $308 risked, vs $-359 (-10.7%) for 100 shares on $3,359. Options give 2.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DT is at $30. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DT hits $30 by Jun 19
+$92
+30.0% on $308 risked
Max Profit
+$3,092
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$308
Premium paid
Break-even
$30.92
-7.94% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
63%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-46.21 / -2.01 / 5.72
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $27 (-20%) | +$432 | +$414 | +$402 | +$405 |
| $29 (-15%) | +$302 | +$274 | +$246 | +$237 |
| $30 (-11%) โ target | +$201 | +$164 | +$122 | +$92 |
| $32 (-5%) | +$85 | +$40 | -$18 | -$99 |
| $33 (-2%) | +$32 | -$16 | -$79 | -$200 |
| $34 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$50 | -$115 | -$267 |
| $34 (+2%) | -$30 | -$80 | -$146 | -$308 |
| $35 (+5%) | -$71 | -$121 | -$187 | -$308 |
| $37 (+10%) | -$128 | -$176 | -$236 | -$308 |
| $39 (+15%) | -$173 | -$217 | -$268 | -$308 |
| $40 (+20%) | -$208 | -$246 | -$287 | -$308 |
Uses DT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.