Target Price Playground
DT
$33.59
๐ข
DT IV: 46.8% โ LOW
(-33.8% vs 30d avg of 70.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $38 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $33.59 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DT hits $38 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$441 (13.1%) on $3,359 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DT hits $38 by Jun 19
+$441
+13.1% on $3,359 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$3,359
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$33.59
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
56%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DT Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $27 (-20%) | -$672 | -$672 | -$672 |
| $29 (-15%) | -$504 | -$504 | -$504 |
| $30 (-10%) | -$336 | -$336 | -$336 |
| $32 (-5%) | -$168 | -$168 | -$168 |
| $33 (-2%) | -$67 | -$67 | -$67 |
| $34 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $34 (+2%) | +$67 | +$67 | +$67 |
| $35 (+5%) | +$168 | +$168 | +$168 |
| $37 (+10%) | +$336 | +$336 | +$336 |
| $38 (+13%) โ target | +$441 | +$441 | +$441 |
| $39 (+15%) | +$504 | +$504 | +$504 |
| $40 (+20%) | +$672 | +$672 | +$672 |
Uses DT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.