Target Price Playground
DT
$33.59
๐ข
DT IV: 46.8% โ LOW
(-33.8% vs 30d avg of 70.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $37 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $33.59 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $32 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.09 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DT hits $37 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$132 (3.7%) on $3,568 risked, vs +$341 (10.2%) for 100 shares on $3,359. Options give 0.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DT is at $37. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DT hits $37 by Jun 19
+$132
+3.7% on $3,568 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$368
Put floors you at $32
Break-even
$35.68
+6.21% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
65%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
64.24 / -1.93 / 5.37
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $27 (-20%) | -$307 | -$334 | -$360 | -$368 |
| $29 (-15%) | -$255 | -$291 | -$333 | -$368 |
| $30 (-10%) | -$186 | -$229 | -$284 | -$368 |
| $32 (-5%) | -$101 | -$148 | -$210 | -$368 |
| $33 (-2%) | -$42 | -$89 | -$152 | -$276 |
| $34 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$47 | -$108 | -$209 |
| $34 (+2%) | +$44 | -$2 | -$61 | -$142 |
| $35 (+5%) | +$114 | +$70 | +$16 | -$41 |
| $37 (+10%) โ target | +$245 | +$205 | +$162 | +$132 |
| $39 (+15%) | +$377 | +$343 | +$310 | +$295 |
| $40 (+20%) | +$522 | +$494 | +$470 | +$463 |
Uses DT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.