Target Price Playground
DT
$33.59
๐ข
DT IV: 46.8% โ LOW
(-33.8% vs 30d avg of 70.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $39 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $34 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.95 ยท ฮ 0.54
LONG PUT ยท $34 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.08 ยท ฮ -0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DT hits $39 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-102 (-17.0%) on $602 risked, vs +$541 (16.1%) for 100 shares on $3,359. Options give 1.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DT is at $39. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DT hits $39 by Jun 19
$-102
-17.0% on $602 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$602
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$27.98
-16.71% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
47%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
7.58 / -4.43 / 11.43
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $27 (-20%) | +$192 | +$147 | +$113 | +$110 |
| $29 (-15%) | +$99 | +$34 | -$31 | -$58 |
| $30 (-10%) | +$35 | -$49 | -$147 | -$226 |
| $32 (-5%) | +$2 | -$97 | -$222 | -$394 |
| $33 (-2%) | -$3 | -$108 | -$244 | -$495 |
| $34 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | -$108 | -$248 | -$562 |
| $34 (+2%) | +$7 | -$102 | -$244 | -$577 |
| $35 (+5%) | +$26 | -$83 | -$224 | -$476 |
| $37 (+10%) | +$81 | -$25 | -$155 | -$308 |
| $39 (+15%) | +$158 | +$61 | -$50 | -$140 |
| $39 (+16%) โ target | +$178 | +$83 | -$23 | -$103 |
| $40 (+20%) | +$256 | +$170 | +$81 | +$28 |
Uses DT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.