Target Price Playground
EA
$202.74
๐ข
EA IV: 1.0% โ LOW
(-97.4% vs 30d avg of 40.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $225 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $205 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.2 ยท ฮ 0.48
SHORT CALL ยท $220 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.2 ยท ฮ 0.04
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If EA hits $225 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,200 (400.8%) on $300 risked, vs +$2,226 (11.0%) for 100 shares on $20,274. Options give 36.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if EA is at $225. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if EA hits $225 by Jun 19
+$1,200
+400.8% on $300 risked
Max Profit
+$1,200
If the stock โฅ $220 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$300
Net debit
Break-even
$208.00
+2.59% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
1%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
44.64 / -3.17 / 28.54
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| EA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $162 (-20%) | -$300 | -$300 | -$300 | -$300 |
| $172 (-15%) | -$300 | -$300 | -$300 | -$300 |
| $182 (-10%) | -$298 | -$300 | -$300 | -$300 |
| $193 (-5%) | -$259 | -$284 | -$299 | -$300 |
| $199 (-2%) | -$143 | -$205 | -$267 | -$300 |
| $203 (0%) โ spot | +$4 | -$72 | -$169 | -$300 |
| $207 (+2%) | +$206 | +$140 | +$44 | -$121 |
| $213 (+5%) | +$559 | +$545 | +$527 | +$488 |
| $225 (+11%) โ target | +$1,058 | +$1,098 | +$1,150 | +$1,200 |
| $233 (+15%) | +$1,162 | +$1,181 | +$1,194 | +$1,200 |
| $243 (+20%) | +$1,186 | +$1,191 | +$1,196 | +$1,200 |
Uses EA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.