Target Price Playground
EA
$202.74
๐ข
EA IV: 1.0% โ LOW
(-97.4% vs 30d avg of 40.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $180 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $205 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.77 ยท ฮ -0.52
SHORT PUT ยท $185 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.2 ยท ฮ -0.17
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If EA hits $180 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$1,743 (678.5%) on $257 risked, vs $-2,274 (-11.2%) for 100 shares on $20,274. Options give 60.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if EA is at $180. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if EA hits $180 by Jun 19
+$1,743
+678.5% on $257 risked
Max Profit
+$1,743
If the stock โค $185 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$257
Net debit
Break-even
$202.43
-0.15% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
1%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-35.13 / 2.41 / 13.89
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| EA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $162 (-20%) | +$1,726 | +$1,732 | +$1,737 | +$1,743 |
| $172 (-15%) | +$1,702 | +$1,724 | +$1,737 | +$1,743 |
| $180 (-11%) โ target | +$1,560 | +$1,628 | +$1,697 | +$1,743 |
| $182 (-10%) | +$1,463 | +$1,543 | +$1,637 | +$1,743 |
| $193 (-5%) | +$804 | +$855 | +$918 | +$983 |
| $199 (-2%) | +$356 | +$353 | +$348 | +$374 |
| $203 (0%) โ spot | +$117 | +$87 | +$42 | -$31 |
| $207 (+2%) | -$54 | -$92 | -$148 | -$257 |
| $213 (+5%) | -$192 | -$218 | -$245 | -$257 |
| $223 (+10%) | -$252 | -$256 | -$257 | -$257 |
| $233 (+15%) | -$257 | -$257 | -$257 | -$257 |
| $243 (+20%) | -$257 | -$257 | -$257 | -$257 |
Uses EA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.