Target Price Playground
EA
$202.74
๐ข
EA IV: 1.0% โ LOW
(-97.4% vs 30d avg of 40.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $220 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $202.74 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $220 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.2 ยท ฮ 0.04
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If EA hits $220 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$1,746 (8.6%) on $20,254 risked, vs +$1,726 (8.5%) for 100 shares on $20,274. Options give 1.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if EA is at $220. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if EA hits $220 by Jun 19
+$1,746
+8.6% on $20,254 risked
Max Profit
+$1,746
If the stock โฅ $220 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$20,254
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$202.54
-0.1% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
5%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
96.41 / 0.58 / -6.08
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| EA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $162 (-20%) | -$4,035 | -$4,035 | -$4,035 | -$4,035 |
| $172 (-15%) | -$3,021 | -$3,021 | -$3,021 | -$3,021 |
| $182 (-10%) | -$2,007 | -$2,007 | -$2,007 | -$2,007 |
| $193 (-5%) | -$994 | -$994 | -$994 | -$994 |
| $199 (-2%) | -$390 | -$386 | -$385 | -$385 |
| $203 (0%) โ spot | +$4 | +$16 | +$20 | +$20 |
| $207 (+2%) | +$379 | +$408 | +$423 | +$425 |
| $213 (+5%) | +$871 | +$939 | +$1,003 | +$1,034 |
| $220 (+9%) โ target | +$1,274 | +$1,374 | +$1,493 | +$1,746 |
| $223 (+10%) | +$1,381 | +$1,481 | +$1,598 | +$1,746 |
| $233 (+15%) | +$1,539 | +$1,613 | +$1,682 | +$1,746 |
| $243 (+20%) | +$1,563 | +$1,624 | +$1,684 | +$1,746 |
Uses EA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.