Target Price Playground
EA
$202.74
๐ข
EA IV: 1.0% โ LOW
(-97.4% vs 30d avg of 40.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $195 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $205 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.07 ยท ฮ -0.48
SHORT PUT ยท $195 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.86 ยท ฮ -0.29
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If EA hits $195 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$719 (325.9%) on $221 risked, vs $-774 (-3.8%) for 100 shares on $20,274. Options give 85.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if EA is at $195. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if EA hits $195 by Jun 19
+$719
+325.9% on $221 risked
Max Profit
+$714
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$221
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$204.42
+0.83% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
37%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-19.86 / 2.81 / 12.88
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| EA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $162 (-20%) | +$701 | +$703 | +$706 | +$708 |
| $172 (-15%) | +$700 | +$703 | +$706 | +$708 |
| $182 (-10%) | +$675 | +$694 | +$705 | +$708 |
| $193 (-5%) | +$494 | +$544 | +$612 | +$712 |
| $195 (-4%) โ target | +$415 | +$460 | +$526 | +$719 |
| $199 (-2%) | +$278 | +$305 | +$342 | +$386 |
| $203 (0%) โ spot | +$127 | +$129 | +$124 | +$90 |
| $207 (+2%) | -$2 | -$17 | -$45 | -$97 |
| $213 (+5%) | -$131 | -$150 | -$175 | -$203 |
| $223 (+10%) | -$208 | -$215 | -$219 | -$221 |
| $233 (+15%) | -$220 | -$221 | -$221 | -$221 |
| $243 (+20%) | -$221 | -$221 | -$221 | -$221 |
Uses EA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.