Target Price Playground
EA
$202.74
๐ข
EA IV: 1.0% โ LOW
(-97.4% vs 30d avg of 40.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $225 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $205 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.2 ยท ฮ 0.48
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If EA hits $225 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$1,680 (525.9%) on $320 risked, vs +$2,226 (11.0%) for 100 shares on $20,274. Options give 47.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if EA is at $225. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if EA hits $225 by Jun 19
+$1,680
+525.9% on $320 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$320
Premium paid
Break-even
$208.20
+2.69% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
1%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
48.23 / -3.75 / 34.62
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| EA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $162 (-20%) | -$320 | -$320 | -$320 | -$320 |
| $172 (-15%) | -$320 | -$320 | -$320 | -$320 |
| $182 (-10%) | -$318 | -$320 | -$320 | -$320 |
| $193 (-5%) | -$278 | -$304 | -$319 | -$320 |
| $199 (-2%) | -$159 | -$224 | -$287 | -$320 |
| $203 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$88 | -$189 | -$320 |
| $207 (+2%) | +$232 | +$138 | +$26 | -$141 |
| $213 (+5%) | +$701 | +$620 | +$538 | +$468 |
| $225 (+11%) โ target | +$1,851 | +$1,794 | +$1,738 | +$1,680 |
| $233 (+15%) | +$2,664 | +$2,608 | +$2,553 | +$2,495 |
| $243 (+20%) | +$3,678 | +$3,622 | +$3,567 | +$3,509 |
Uses EA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.