Target Price Playground
EA
$202.74
๐ข
EA IV: 1.0% โ LOW
(-97.4% vs 30d avg of 40.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $180 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $205 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.77 ยท ฮ -0.52
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If EA hits $180 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$2,123 (563.3%) on $377 risked, vs $-2,274 (-11.2%) for 100 shares on $20,274. Options give 50.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if EA is at $180. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if EA hits $180 by Jun 19
+$2,123
+563.3% on $377 risked
Max Profit
+$20,123
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$377
Premium paid
Break-even
$201.23
-0.74% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
1%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-51.77 / -1.25 / 34.62
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| EA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $162 (-20%) | +$3,735 | +$3,791 | +$3,846 | +$3,904 |
| $172 (-15%) | +$2,721 | +$2,777 | +$2,832 | +$2,890 |
| $180 (-11%) โ target | +$1,955 | +$2,010 | +$2,065 | +$2,123 |
| $182 (-10%) | +$1,709 | +$1,763 | +$1,818 | +$1,876 |
| $193 (-5%) | +$736 | +$765 | +$806 | +$863 |
| $199 (-2%) | +$246 | +$236 | +$229 | +$254 |
| $203 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$32 | -$78 | -$151 |
| $207 (+2%) | -$173 | -$212 | -$268 | -$377 |
| $213 (+5%) | -$312 | -$338 | -$365 | -$377 |
| $223 (+10%) | -$372 | -$376 | -$377 | -$377 |
| $233 (+15%) | -$377 | -$377 | -$377 | -$377 |
| $243 (+20%) | -$377 | -$377 | -$377 | -$377 |
Uses EA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.