Target Price Playground
EA
$202.74
๐ข
EA IV: 1.0% โ LOW
(-97.4% vs 30d avg of 40.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $225 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $202.74 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $195 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.86 ยท ฮ -0.29
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If EA hits $225 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$2,040 (10.0%) on $20,460 risked, vs +$2,226 (11.0%) for 100 shares on $20,274. Options give 0.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if EA is at $225. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if EA hits $225 by Jun 19
+$2,040
+10.0% on $20,460 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$960
Put floors you at $195
Break-even
$204.60
+0.92% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
1%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
71.37 / -3.72 / 28.35
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| EA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $162 (-20%) | -$1,120 | -$1,068 | -$1,015 | -$960 |
| $172 (-15%) | -$1,120 | -$1,068 | -$1,015 | -$960 |
| $182 (-10%) | -$1,088 | -$1,057 | -$1,014 | -$960 |
| $193 (-5%) | -$828 | -$858 | -$900 | -$960 |
| $199 (-2%) | -$456 | -$491 | -$538 | -$591 |
| $203 (0%) โ spot | -$128 | -$152 | -$176 | -$186 |
| $207 (+2%) | +$241 | +$228 | +$220 | +$219 |
| $213 (+5%) | +$832 | +$829 | +$828 | +$828 |
| $225 (+11%) โ target | +$2,040 | +$2,040 | +$2,040 | +$2,040 |
| $233 (+15%) | +$2,855 | +$2,855 | +$2,855 | +$2,855 |
| $243 (+20%) | +$3,869 | +$3,869 | +$3,869 | +$3,869 |
Uses EA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.