Target Price Playground
EA
$202.74
๐ข
EA IV: 1.0% โ LOW
(-97.4% vs 30d avg of 40.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $235 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $205 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.2 ยท ฮ 0.48
LONG PUT ยท $205 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.77 ยท ฮ -0.52
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If EA hits $235 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$2,304 (330.8%) on $696 risked, vs +$3,226 (15.9%) for 100 shares on $20,274. Options give 20.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if EA is at $235. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if EA hits $235 by Jun 19
+$2,304
+330.8% on $696 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$696
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$198.04
-2.32% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
0%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-3.54 / -5.0 / 69.24
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| EA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $162 (-20%) | +$3,415 | +$3,471 | +$3,526 | +$3,584 |
| $172 (-15%) | +$2,401 | +$2,457 | +$2,512 | +$2,570 |
| $182 (-10%) | +$1,390 | +$1,443 | +$1,498 | +$1,556 |
| $193 (-5%) | +$458 | +$461 | +$488 | +$543 |
| $199 (-2%) | +$88 | +$12 | -$59 | -$66 |
| $203 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | -$120 | -$267 | -$471 |
| $207 (+2%) | +$59 | -$74 | -$242 | -$518 |
| $213 (+5%) | +$389 | +$282 | +$173 | +$91 |
| $223 (+10%) | +$1,283 | +$1,220 | +$1,162 | +$1,104 |
| $235 (+16%) โ target | +$2,472 | +$2,416 | +$2,361 | +$2,303 |
| $243 (+20%) | +$3,301 | +$3,245 | +$3,190 | +$3,132 |
Uses EA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.