Target Price Playground
FICO
$922.37
๐ข
FICO IV: 56.7% โ LOW
(-18.5% vs 30d avg of 69.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1030 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $920 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $104.1 ยท ฮ 0.55
SHORT CALL ยท $1000 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $95.0 ยท ฮ 0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FICO hits $1030 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$7,090 (779.1%) on $910 risked, vs +$10,763 (11.7%) for 100 shares on $92,237. Options give 66.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FICO is at $1030. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FICO hits $1030 by Jun 19
+$7,090
+779.1% on $910 risked
Max Profit
+$7,090
If the stock โฅ $1000 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$910
Net debit
Break-even
$929.10
+0.73% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
65%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.2 / -4.27 / -7.94
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FICO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $738 (-20%) | +$137 | -$169 | -$613 | -$910 |
| $784 (-15%) | +$590 | +$286 | -$249 | -$910 |
| $830 (-10%) | +$1,112 | +$858 | +$337 | -$910 |
| $876 (-5%) | +$1,682 | +$1,521 | +$1,137 | -$910 |
| $904 (-2%) | +$2,036 | +$1,945 | +$1,695 | -$910 |
| $922 (0%) โ spot | +$2,275 | +$2,234 | +$2,088 | -$673 |
| $941 (+2%) | +$2,513 | +$2,524 | +$2,489 | +$1,172 |
| $968 (+5%) | +$2,867 | +$2,957 | +$3,093 | +$3,939 |
| $1015 (+10%) | +$3,438 | +$3,652 | +$4,051 | +$7,090 |
| $1030 (+12%) โ target | +$3,621 | +$3,873 | +$4,346 | +$7,090 |
| $1061 (+15%) | +$3,973 | +$4,291 | +$4,887 | +$7,090 |
| $1107 (+20%) | +$4,460 | +$4,856 | +$5,562 | +$7,090 |
Uses FICO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.