Target Price Playground
FICO
$922.37
๐ข
FICO IV: 56.7% โ LOW
(-18.5% vs 30d avg of 69.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1030 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $920 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $104.1 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FICO hits $1030 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$590 (5.7%) on $10,410 risked, vs +$10,763 (11.7%) for 100 shares on $92,237. Options give 0.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FICO is at $1030. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FICO hits $1030 by Jun 19
+$590
+5.7% on $10,410 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$10,410
Premium paid
Break-even
$1024.10
+11.03% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
65%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.36 / -81.48 / 155.57
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FICO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $738 (-20%) | -$8,021 | -$9,043 | -$10,006 | -$10,410 |
| $784 (-15%) | -$6,725 | -$8,026 | -$9,442 | -$10,410 |
| $830 (-10%) | -$5,051 | -$6,590 | -$8,431 | -$10,410 |
| $876 (-5%) | -$2,991 | -$4,699 | -$6,854 | -$10,410 |
| $904 (-2%) | -$1,574 | -$3,344 | -$5,610 | -$10,410 |
| $922 (0%) โ spot | -$555 | -$2,352 | -$4,655 | -$10,173 |
| $941 (+2%) | +$520 | -$1,289 | -$3,603 | -$8,328 |
| $968 (+5%) | +$2,235 | +$428 | -$1,851 | -$5,561 |
| $1015 (+10%) | +$5,344 | +$3,595 | +$1,480 | -$949 |
| $1030 (+12%) โ target | +$6,447 | +$4,729 | +$2,691 | +$590 |
| $1061 (+15%) | +$8,736 | +$7,096 | +$5,234 | +$3,663 |
| $1107 (+20%) | +$12,368 | +$10,870 | +$9,297 | +$8,274 |
Uses FICO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.