Target Price Playground
FIVN
$13.61
Forward Projection
If price hits $12 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $14 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.59 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $13 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.23 ยท ฮ -0.21
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FIVN hits $12 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$64 (178.6%) on $36 risked, vs $-161 (-11.8%) for 100 shares on $1,361. Options give 15.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FIVN is at $12. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FIVN hits $12 by Jun 19
+$64
+178.6% on $36 risked
Max Profit
+$64
If the stock โค $12 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$36
Net debit
Break-even
$13.14
-3.45% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
36%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-20.94 / -0.09 / 0.58
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FIVN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $11 (-20%) | +$54 | +$58 | +$63 | +$64 |
| $12 (-15%) | +$45 | +$50 | +$57 | +$64 |
| $12 (-12%) โ target | +$36 | +$41 | +$48 | +$64 |
| $12 (-10%) | +$31 | +$34 | +$41 | +$64 |
| $13 (-5%) | +$15 | +$16 | +$16 | +$21 |
| $13 (-2%) | +$6 | +$4 | +$1 | -$20 |
| $14 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$3 | -$8 | -$36 |
| $14 (+2%) | -$6 | -$9 | -$16 | -$36 |
| $14 (+5%) | -$13 | -$17 | -$25 | -$36 |
| $15 (+10%) | -$22 | -$27 | -$32 | -$36 |
| $16 (+15%) | -$28 | -$32 | -$35 | -$36 |
| $16 (+20%) | -$32 | -$34 | -$36 | -$36 |
Uses FIVN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.