Target Price Playground
FIVN
$13.61
Forward Projection
If price hits $15 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $13.61 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $15 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.4 ยท ฮ 0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FIVN hits $15 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$129 (9.7%) on $1,321 risked, vs +$89 (6.5%) for 100 shares on $1,361. Options give 1.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FIVN is at $15. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FIVN hits $15 by Jun 19
+$129
+9.7% on $1,321 risked
Max Profit
+$129
If the stock โฅ $14 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,321
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$13.21
-2.91% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
61%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
64.22 / 0.54 / -2.18
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FIVN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $11 (-20%) | -$233 | -$232 | -$232 | -$232 |
| $12 (-15%) | -$167 | -$165 | -$164 | -$164 |
| $12 (-10%) | -$105 | -$100 | -$96 | -$96 |
| $13 (-5%) | -$48 | -$39 | -$31 | -$28 |
| $13 (-2%) | -$18 | -$7 | +$5 | +$13 |
| $14 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$13 | +$27 | +$40 |
| $14 (+2%) | +$17 | +$31 | +$47 | +$67 |
| $14 (+5%) | +$39 | +$54 | +$73 | +$108 |
| $15 (+7%) โ target | +$49 | +$64 | +$83 | +$129 |
| $15 (+10%) | +$68 | +$83 | +$102 | +$129 |
| $16 (+15%) | +$88 | +$101 | +$116 | +$129 |
| $16 (+20%) | +$100 | +$112 | +$122 | +$129 |
Uses FIVN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.