Target Price Playground
FIVN
$13.61
Forward Projection
If price hits $13 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $14 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.7 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $13 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.38 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FIVN hits $13 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$39 (122.4%) on $32 risked, vs $-61 (-4.5%) for 100 shares on $1,361. Options give 27.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FIVN is at $13. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FIVN hits $13 by Jun 19
+$39
+122.4% on $32 risked
Max Profit
+$39
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$32
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$13.76
+1.08% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-10.46 / 0.06 / 0.64
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FIVN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $11 (-20%) | +$14 | +$15 | +$15 | +$14 |
| $12 (-15%) | +$13 | +$15 | +$17 | +$15 |
| $12 (-10%) | +$11 | +$14 | +$18 | +$20 |
| $13 (-4%) โ target | +$6 | +$8 | +$13 | +$38 |
| $13 (-2%) | +$2 | +$4 | +$8 | +$18 |
| $14 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$1 | +$4 | +$5 |
| $14 (+2%) | -$3 | -$2 | -$1 | -$5 |
| $14 (+5%) | -$8 | -$8 | -$9 | -$16 |
| $15 (+10%) | -$15 | -$16 | -$19 | -$26 |
| $16 (+15%) | -$20 | -$22 | -$26 | -$30 |
| $16 (+20%) | -$25 | -$27 | -$29 | -$32 |
Uses FIVN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.