Target Price Playground
FIVN
$13.61
Forward Projection
If price hits $15 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $14 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.81 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FIVN hits $15 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$69 (85.7%) on $81 risked, vs +$139 (10.2%) for 100 shares on $1,361. Options give 8.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FIVN is at $15. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FIVN hits $15 by Jun 19
+$69
+85.7% on $81 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$81
Premium paid
Break-even
$14.31
+5.13% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
43%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.6 / -0.6 / 2.28
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FIVN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $11 (-20%) | -$77 | -$80 | -$81 | -$81 |
| $12 (-15%) | -$71 | -$76 | -$80 | -$81 |
| $12 (-10%) | -$57 | -$67 | -$76 | -$81 |
| $13 (-5%) | -$34 | -$47 | -$62 | -$81 |
| $13 (-2%) | -$15 | -$29 | -$47 | -$81 |
| $14 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$15 | -$33 | -$70 |
| $14 (+2%) | +$16 | +$2 | -$16 | -$43 |
| $14 (+5%) | +$44 | +$30 | +$15 | -$2 |
| $15 (+10%) โ target | +$99 | +$88 | +$76 | +$69 |
| $16 (+15%) | +$155 | +$146 | +$139 | +$134 |
| $16 (+20%) | +$218 | +$211 | +$206 | +$202 |
Uses FIVN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.