Target Price Playground
FIVN
$13.61
Forward Projection
If price hits $12 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $14 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.59 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FIVN hits $12 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$91 (155.6%) on $59 risked, vs $-161 (-11.8%) for 100 shares on $1,361. Options give 13.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FIVN is at $12. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FIVN hits $12 by Jun 19
+$91
+155.6% on $59 risked
Max Profit
+$1,291
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$59
Premium paid
Break-even
$12.91
-5.12% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
36%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-42.4 / -0.43 / 2.28
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FIVN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $11 (-20%) | +$194 | +$196 | +$198 | +$202 |
| $12 (-15%) | +$133 | +$131 | +$131 | +$134 |
| $12 (-12%) โ target | +$98 | +$93 | +$90 | +$91 |
| $12 (-10%) | +$79 | +$73 | +$67 | +$66 |
| $13 (-5%) | +$34 | +$25 | +$13 | -$2 |
| $13 (-2%) | +$12 | +$2 | -$12 | -$43 |
| $14 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$11 | -$25 | -$59 |
| $14 (+2%) | -$11 | -$22 | -$36 | -$59 |
| $14 (+5%) | -$24 | -$34 | -$46 | -$59 |
| $15 (+10%) | -$40 | -$47 | -$55 | -$59 |
| $16 (+15%) | -$49 | -$54 | -$58 | -$59 |
| $16 (+20%) | -$54 | -$57 | -$59 | -$59 |
Uses FIVN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.