Target Price Playground
FIVN
$13.61
Forward Projection
If price hits $15 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $13.61 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FIVN hits $15 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$139 (10.2%) on $1,361 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FIVN hits $15 by Jun 19
+$139
+10.2% on $1,361 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,361
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$13.61
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
43%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FIVN Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $11 (-20%) | -$272 | -$272 | -$272 |
| $12 (-15%) | -$204 | -$204 | -$204 |
| $12 (-10%) | -$136 | -$136 | -$136 |
| $13 (-5%) | -$68 | -$68 | -$68 |
| $13 (-2%) | -$27 | -$27 | -$27 |
| $14 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $14 (+2%) | +$27 | +$27 | +$27 |
| $14 (+5%) | +$68 | +$68 | +$68 |
| $15 (+10%) โ target | +$139 | +$139 | +$139 |
| $16 (+15%) | +$204 | +$204 | +$204 |
| $16 (+20%) | +$272 | +$272 | +$272 |
Uses FIVN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.