Target Price Playground
FIVN
$13.61
Forward Projection
If price hits $15 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $13.61 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $13 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.38 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FIVN hits $15 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$101 (7.2%) on $1,399 risked, vs +$139 (10.2%) for 100 shares on $1,361. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FIVN is at $15. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FIVN hits $15 by Jun 19
+$101
+7.2% on $1,399 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$99
Put floors you at $13
Break-even
$13.99
+2.79% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
43%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
68.63 / -0.41 / 2.07
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FIVN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $11 (-20%) | -$103 | -$103 | -$102 | -$99 |
| $12 (-15%) | -$92 | -$97 | -$100 | -$99 |
| $12 (-10%) | -$72 | -$80 | -$90 | -$99 |
| $13 (-5%) | -$42 | -$52 | -$65 | -$99 |
| $13 (-2%) | -$18 | -$28 | -$42 | -$65 |
| $14 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$10 | -$22 | -$38 |
| $14 (+2%) | +$19 | +$10 | -$1 | -$11 |
| $14 (+5%) | +$51 | +$43 | +$35 | +$30 |
| $15 (+10%) โ target | +$111 | +$106 | +$102 | +$101 |
| $16 (+15%) | +$171 | +$168 | +$166 | +$166 |
| $16 (+20%) | +$236 | +$235 | +$234 | +$234 |
Uses FIVN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.