Target Price Playground
FIVN
$13.61
Forward Projection
If price hits $16 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $14 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.81 ยท ฮ 0.58
LONG PUT ยท $14 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.59 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FIVN hits $16 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$61 (43.4%) on $139 risked, vs +$189 (13.9%) for 100 shares on $1,361. Options give 3.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FIVN is at $16. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FIVN hits $16 by Jun 19
+$61
+43.4% on $139 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$139
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$14.89
+9.44% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
28%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
15.2 / -1.03 / 4.57
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FIVN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $11 (-20%) | +$117 | +$116 | +$117 | +$121 |
| $12 (-15%) | +$62 | +$55 | +$51 | +$53 |
| $12 (-10%) | +$22 | +$6 | -$9 | -$15 |
| $13 (-5%) | -$0 | -$22 | -$50 | -$83 |
| $13 (-2%) | -$3 | -$27 | -$59 | -$124 |
| $14 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | -$25 | -$58 | -$129 |
| $14 (+2%) | +$5 | -$20 | -$51 | -$102 |
| $14 (+5%) | +$20 | -$4 | -$32 | -$61 |
| $15 (+10%) | +$57 | +$38 | +$18 | +$7 |
| $16 (+14%) โ target | +$95 | +$80 | +$66 | +$60 |
| $16 (+15%) | +$106 | +$92 | +$81 | +$75 |
| $16 (+20%) | +$164 | +$154 | +$147 | +$143 |
Uses FIVN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.