Target Price Playground
FIVN
$13.61
Forward Projection
If price hits $15 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $14 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.81 ยท ฮ 0.58
SHORT CALL ยท $15 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.4 ยท ฮ 0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FIVN hits $15 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$59 (143.1%) on $41 risked, vs +$139 (10.2%) for 100 shares on $1,361. Options give 14.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FIVN is at $15. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FIVN hits $15 by Jun 19
+$59
+143.1% on $41 risked
Max Profit
+$59
If the stock โฅ $14 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$41
Net debit
Break-even
$13.91
+2.21% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
43%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
21.82 / -0.06 / 0.11
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FIVN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $11 (-20%) | -$38 | -$40 | -$41 | -$41 |
| $12 (-15%) | -$34 | -$37 | -$40 | -$41 |
| $12 (-10%) | -$26 | -$30 | -$37 | -$41 |
| $13 (-5%) | -$14 | -$18 | -$26 | -$41 |
| $13 (-2%) | -$6 | -$8 | -$14 | -$41 |
| $14 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$2 | -$5 | -$30 |
| $14 (+2%) | +$6 | +$6 | +$5 | -$3 |
| $14 (+5%) | +$15 | +$16 | +$19 | +$38 |
| $15 (+10%) โ target | +$29 | +$33 | +$40 | +$59 |
| $16 (+15%) | +$39 | +$44 | +$51 | +$59 |
| $16 (+20%) | +$46 | +$51 | +$56 | +$59 |
Uses FIVN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.