Target Price Playground
FN
$662.13
๐ข
FN IV: 77.8% โ LOW
(-18.4% vs 30d avg of 95.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $740 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $660 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $91.83 ยท ฮ 0.58
SHORT CALL ยท $720 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $68.28 ยท ฮ 0.48
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FN hits $740 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$3,646 (154.8%) on $2,354 risked, vs +$7,787 (11.8%) for 100 shares on $66,213. Options give 13.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FN is at $740. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FN hits $740 by Jun 19
+$3,646
+154.8% on $2,354 risked
Max Profit
+$3,646
If the stock โฅ $720 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$2,354
Net debit
Break-even
$683.54
+3.23% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
10.26 / 0.69 / -2.12
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $530 (-20%) | -$1,300 | -$1,507 | -$1,882 | -$2,355 |
| $563 (-15%) | -$999 | -$1,178 | -$1,552 | -$2,355 |
| $596 (-10%) | -$676 | -$808 | -$1,121 | -$2,355 |
| $629 (-5%) | -$341 | -$408 | -$608 | -$2,355 |
| $649 (-2%) | -$137 | -$161 | -$273 | -$2,355 |
| $662 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | +$5 | -$45 | -$2,142 |
| $675 (+2%) | +$135 | +$170 | +$186 | -$818 |
| $695 (+5%) | +$336 | +$417 | +$532 | +$1,169 |
| $728 (+10%) | +$662 | +$816 | +$1,087 | +$3,645 |
| $740 (+12%) โ target | +$774 | +$952 | +$1,273 | +$3,645 |
| $761 (+15%) | +$974 | +$1,193 | +$1,596 | +$3,645 |
| $795 (+20%) | +$1,266 | +$1,541 | +$2,042 | +$3,645 |
Uses FN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.