Target Price Playground
FN
$662.13
๐ข
FN IV: 78.3% โ LOW
(-17.9% vs 30d avg of 95.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $630 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $660 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $101.75 ยท ฮ -0.4
SHORT PUT ยท $630 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $68.61 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FN hits $630 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$3,809 (114.9%) on $3,314 risked, vs $-3,213 (-4.9%) for 100 shares on $66,213. Options give 23.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FN is at $630. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FN hits $630 by Jun 19
+$3,809
+114.9% on $3,314 risked
Max Profit
+$3,687
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$2,437
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$723.26
+9.23% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
89%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-3.29 / 6.62 / 26.06
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $530 (-20%) | +$51 | +$271 | +$582 | +$535 |
| $563 (-15%) | +$36 | +$298 | +$734 | +$1,293 |
| $596 (-10%) | -$16 | +$267 | +$779 | +$2,346 |
| $630 (-5%) โ target | -$105 | +$175 | +$702 | +$3,759 |
| $649 (-2%) | -$169 | +$100 | +$606 | +$2,799 |
| $662 (0%) โ spot | -$219 | +$39 | +$519 | +$2,186 |
| $675 (+2%) | -$273 | -$30 | +$418 | +$1,621 |
| $695 (+5%) | -$361 | -$143 | +$242 | +$860 |
| $728 (+10%) | -$522 | -$356 | -$98 | -$196 |
| $761 (+15%) | -$696 | -$590 | -$471 | -$1,019 |
| $795 (+20%) | -$877 | -$833 | -$850 | -$1,647 |
Uses FN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.