Target Price Playground
FN
$662.13
๐ข
FN IV: 78.3% โ LOW
(-17.9% vs 30d avg of 95.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $740 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $660 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $91.83 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FN hits $740 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-1,183 (-12.9%) on $9,183 risked, vs +$7,787 (11.8%) for 100 shares on $66,213. Options give 1.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FN is at $740. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FN hits $740 by Jun 19
$-1,183
-12.9% on $9,183 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$9,183
Premium paid
Break-even
$751.83
+13.55% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
58.02 / -68.62 / 110.88
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $530 (-20%) | -$6,018 | -$7,159 | -$8,388 | -$9,183 |
| $563 (-15%) | -$4,839 | -$6,169 | -$7,727 | -$9,183 |
| $596 (-10%) | -$3,439 | -$4,921 | -$6,759 | -$9,183 |
| $629 (-5%) | -$1,823 | -$3,416 | -$5,451 | -$9,183 |
| $649 (-2%) | -$753 | -$2,390 | -$4,498 | -$9,183 |
| $662 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$1,658 | -$3,795 | -$8,970 |
| $675 (+2%) | +$783 | -$888 | -$3,039 | -$7,646 |
| $695 (+5%) | +$2,014 | +$335 | -$1,808 | -$5,659 |
| $728 (+10%) | +$4,204 | +$2,542 | +$474 | -$2,349 |
| $740 (+12%) โ target | +$5,014 | +$3,367 | +$1,340 | -$1,183 |
| $761 (+15%) | +$6,553 | +$4,941 | +$3,009 | +$962 |
| $795 (+20%) | +$9,043 | +$7,505 | +$5,749 | +$4,273 |
Uses FN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.