Target Price Playground
FN
$662.13
๐ข
FN IV: 78.3% โ LOW
(-17.9% vs 30d avg of 95.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $580 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $660 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $84.27 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FN hits $580 by Jun 19: the long put returns $-427 (-5.1%) on $8,427 risked, vs $-8,213 (-12.4%) for 100 shares on $66,213. Options give 0.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FN is at $580. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FN hits $580 by Jun 19
$-427
-5.1% on $8,427 risked
Max Profit
+$57,573
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$8,427
Premium paid
Break-even
$575.73
-13.05% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-41.98 / -60.55 / 110.88
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $530 (-20%) | +$7,225 | +$6,262 | +$5,211 | +$4,603 |
| $563 (-15%) | +$5,093 | +$3,941 | +$2,561 | +$1,292 |
| $580 (-12%) โ target | +$4,073 | +$2,837 | +$1,303 | -$427 |
| $596 (-10%) | +$3,182 | +$1,877 | +$218 | -$2,019 |
| $629 (-5%) | +$1,488 | +$73 | -$1,784 | -$5,329 |
| $649 (-2%) | +$571 | -$888 | -$2,818 | -$7,316 |
| $662 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$1,480 | -$3,439 | -$8,427 |
| $675 (+2%) | -$541 | -$2,034 | -$4,006 | -$8,427 |
| $695 (+5%) | -$1,297 | -$2,798 | -$4,763 | -$8,427 |
| $728 (+10%) | -$2,417 | -$3,901 | -$5,791 | -$8,427 |
| $761 (+15%) | -$3,379 | -$4,813 | -$6,567 | -$8,427 |
| $795 (+20%) | -$4,200 | -$5,561 | -$7,138 | -$8,427 |
Uses FN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.