Target Price Playground
FN
$662.13
๐ข
FN IV: 78.3% โ LOW
(-17.9% vs 30d avg of 95.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $740 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $662.13 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FN hits $740 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$7,787 (11.8%) on $66,213 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FN hits $740 by Jun 19
+$7,787
+11.8% on $66,213 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$66,213
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$662.13
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FN Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $530 (-20%) | -$13,243 | -$13,243 | -$13,243 |
| $563 (-15%) | -$9,932 | -$9,932 | -$9,932 |
| $596 (-10%) | -$6,621 | -$6,621 | -$6,621 |
| $629 (-5%) | -$3,311 | -$3,311 | -$3,311 |
| $649 (-2%) | -$1,324 | -$1,324 | -$1,324 |
| $662 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $675 (+2%) | +$1,324 | +$1,324 | +$1,324 |
| $695 (+5%) | +$3,311 | +$3,311 | +$3,311 |
| $728 (+10%) | +$6,621 | +$6,621 | +$6,621 |
| $740 (+12%) โ target | +$7,787 | +$7,787 | +$7,787 |
| $761 (+15%) | +$9,932 | +$9,932 | +$9,932 |
| $795 (+20%) | +$13,243 | +$13,243 | +$13,243 |
Uses FN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.