Target Price Playground
FN
$662.13
๐ข
FN IV: 78.3% โ LOW
(-17.9% vs 30d avg of 95.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $730 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $662.13 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $630 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $68.61 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FN hits $730 by Jun 19: the protective put returns $-74 (-0.1%) on $73,074 risked, vs +$6,787 (10.3%) for 100 shares on $66,213.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FN is at $730. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FN hits $730 by Jun 19
$-74
-0.1% on $73,074 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$10,074
Put floors you at $630
Break-even
$730.74
+10.36% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
76%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
63.33 / -58.78 / 106.79
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $530 (-20%) | -$6,733 | -$7,792 | -$9,038 | -$10,074 |
| $563 (-15%) | -$5,380 | -$6,601 | -$8,139 | -$10,074 |
| $596 (-10%) | -$3,799 | -$5,137 | -$6,889 | -$10,074 |
| $629 (-5%) | -$2,001 | -$3,409 | -$5,274 | -$10,074 |
| $649 (-2%) | -$823 | -$2,251 | -$4,135 | -$8,185 |
| $662 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$1,432 | -$3,310 | -$6,861 |
| $675 (+2%) | +$853 | -$577 | -$2,435 | -$5,537 |
| $695 (+5%) | +$2,186 | +$770 | -$1,034 | -$3,550 |
| $730 (+10%) โ target | +$4,660 | +$3,297 | +$1,639 | -$74 |
| $761 (+15%) | +$7,037 | +$5,747 | +$4,258 | +$3,071 |
| $795 (+20%) | +$9,665 | +$8,467 | +$7,176 | +$6,382 |
Uses FN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.