Target Price Playground
FN
$662.13
๐ข
FN IV: 77.8% โ LOW
(-18.4% vs 30d avg of 95.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $760 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $660 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $91.83 ยท ฮ 0.58
LONG PUT ยท $660 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $84.27 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FN hits $760 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-7,609 (-43.2%) on $17,609 risked, vs +$9,787 (14.8%) for 100 shares on $66,213. Options give 2.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FN is at $760. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FN hits $760 by Jun 19
$-7,609
-43.2% on $17,609 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$17,609
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$836.09
+26.27% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
66%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
16.04 / -129.16 / 221.76
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $530 (-20%) | +$1,207 | -$897 | -$3,176 | -$4,580 |
| $563 (-15%) | +$254 | -$2,227 | -$5,166 | -$7,891 |
| $596 (-10%) | -$257 | -$3,044 | -$6,541 | -$11,202 |
| $629 (-5%) | -$335 | -$3,342 | -$7,235 | -$14,512 |
| $649 (-2%) | -$182 | -$3,278 | -$7,316 | -$16,499 |
| $662 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | -$3,138 | -$7,234 | -$17,397 |
| $675 (+2%) | +$242 | -$2,922 | -$7,045 | -$16,073 |
| $695 (+5%) | +$717 | -$2,462 | -$6,572 | -$14,086 |
| $728 (+10%) | +$1,787 | -$1,358 | -$5,317 | -$10,776 |
| $760 (+15%) โ target | +$3,107 | +$55 | -$3,644 | -$7,610 |
| $795 (+20%) | +$4,842 | +$1,944 | -$1,389 | -$4,154 |
Uses FN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.