Target Price Playground
FORM
$123.80
๐ข
FORM IV: 78.1% โ LOW
(-22.1% vs 30d avg of 100.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $125 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $15.76 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $125 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $15.93 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FORM hits $140 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-1,669 (-52.7%) on $3,169 risked, vs +$1,620 (13.1%) for 100 shares on $12,380. Options give 4.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FORM is at $140. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FORM hits $140 by Jun 19
$-1,669
-52.7% on $3,169 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$3,169
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$93.31
-24.62% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
68%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.45 / -23.24 / 41.8
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FORM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $99 (-20%) | +$341 | -$15 | -$383 | -$573 |
| $105 (-15%) | +$130 | -$299 | -$793 | -$1,192 |
| $111 (-10%) | +$4 | -$487 | -$1,092 | -$1,811 |
| $118 (-5%) | -$39 | -$575 | -$1,263 | -$2,430 |
| $121 (-2%) | -$25 | -$580 | -$1,302 | -$2,801 |
| $124 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$565 | -$1,301 | -$3,049 |
| $126 (+2%) | +$36 | -$534 | -$1,279 | -$3,041 |
| $130 (+5%) | +$114 | -$462 | -$1,209 | -$2,670 |
| $136 (+10%) | +$297 | -$274 | -$998 | -$2,051 |
| $140 (+13%) โ target | +$442 | -$120 | -$816 | -$1,669 |
| $142 (+15%) | +$544 | -$11 | -$686 | -$1,432 |
| $149 (+20%) | +$846 | +$319 | -$292 | -$813 |
Uses FORM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.