Target Price Playground
FRSH
$7.55
๐ข
FRSH IV: 58.2% โ LOW
(-23.1% vs 30d avg of 75.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $9 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $8 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.86 ยท ฮ 0.58
SHORT CALL ยท $8 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.65 ยท ฮ 0.48
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FRSH hits $9 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$29 (139.6%) on $21 risked, vs +$95 (12.6%) for 100 shares on $755. Options give 11.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FRSH is at $9. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FRSH hits $9 by Jun 19
+$29
+139.6% on $21 risked
Max Profit
+$29
If the stock โฅ $8 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$21
Net debit
Break-even
$7.71
+2.1% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
64%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
9.52 / 0.0 / -0.02
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FRSH Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $6 (-20%) | -$13 | -$15 | -$18 | -$21 |
| $6 (-15%) | -$11 | -$12 | -$16 | -$21 |
| $7 (-10%) | -$7 | -$9 | -$12 | -$21 |
| $7 (-5%) | -$4 | -$5 | -$6 | -$21 |
| $7 (-2%) | -$2 | -$2 | -$3 | -$21 |
| $8 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$16 |
| $8 (+2%) | +$1 | +$2 | +$2 | -$1 |
| $8 (+5%) | +$3 | +$4 | +$6 | +$22 |
| $8 (+10%) | +$7 | +$8 | +$11 | +$29 |
| $9 (+13%) โ target | +$8 | +$10 | +$14 | +$29 |
| $9 (+15%) | +$10 | +$12 | +$16 | +$29 |
| $9 (+20%) | +$13 | +$15 | +$20 | +$29 |
Uses FRSH's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.