Target Price Playground
FRSH
$7.55
๐ข
FRSH IV: 58.2% โ LOW
(-23.1% vs 30d avg of 75.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $9 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $8 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.86 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FRSH hits $9 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$14 (16.3%) on $86 risked, vs +$95 (12.6%) for 100 shares on $755. Options give 1.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FRSH is at $9. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FRSH hits $9 by Jun 19
+$14
+16.3% on $86 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$86
Premium paid
Break-even
$8.36
+10.72% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
64%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.53 / -0.64 / 1.27
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FRSH Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $6 (-20%) | -$63 | -$73 | -$82 | -$86 |
| $6 (-15%) | -$52 | -$63 | -$76 | -$86 |
| $7 (-10%) | -$38 | -$51 | -$67 | -$86 |
| $7 (-5%) | -$20 | -$35 | -$54 | -$86 |
| $7 (-2%) | -$8 | -$24 | -$43 | -$86 |
| $8 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$15 | -$35 | -$81 |
| $8 (+2%) | +$9 | -$7 | -$26 | -$66 |
| $8 (+5%) | +$23 | +$8 | -$12 | -$43 |
| $8 (+10%) | +$48 | +$33 | +$15 | -$6 |
| $9 (+13%) โ target | +$63 | +$48 | +$31 | +$14 |
| $9 (+15%) | +$76 | +$62 | +$46 | +$32 |
| $9 (+20%) | +$106 | +$93 | +$79 | +$70 |
Uses FRSH's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.