Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
FTNT
$76.70
๐ŸŸข
FTNT IV: 42.0% โ€” LOW (-36.1% vs 30d avg of 65.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $81 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

SHORT PUT ยท $71 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.98 ยท ฮ” -0.29
P&L at Expiry Now $77 Target $81 $54 $77 $100
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If FTNT hits $81 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$298 (4.4%) on $-298 credit (max loss $6,802), vs +$430 (5.6%) for 100 shares on $7,670. Options give 0.8ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FTNT is at $81. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if FTNT hits $81 by Jun 19
+$298
+4.4% on $6,802 max loss
Max Profit
+$298
If the stock โ‰ฅ $71 at expiry
Max Loss
โˆ’$6,802
If stock โ†’ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$68.02
-11.32% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
77%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
29.3 / 3.43 / -11.3
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

FTNT Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$61 (-20%) -$779 -$729 -$680 -$666
$65 (-15%) -$518 -$448 -$363 -$282
$69 (-10%) -$302 -$219 -$109 +$101
$73 (-5%) -$131 -$44 +$71 +$298
$75 (-2%) -$48 +$37 +$147 +$298
$77 (0%) โ† spot -$0 +$82 +$184 +$298
$78 (+2%) +$42 +$121 +$214 +$298
$81 (+6%) โ† target +$106 +$176 +$252 +$298
$84 (+10%) +$164 +$222 +$277 +$298
$88 (+15%) +$211 +$256 +$290 +$298
$92 (+20%) +$243 +$275 +$295 +$298
Uses FTNT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.