Target Price Playground
FTNT
$76.70
๐ข
FTNT IV: 42.0% โ LOW
(-36.1% vs 30d avg of 65.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $86 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $76.7 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If FTNT hits $86 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$930 (12.1%) on $7,670 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if FTNT hits $86 by Jun 19
+$930
+12.1% on $7,670 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$7,670
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$76.70
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
52%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| FTNT Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $61 (-20%) | -$1,534 | -$1,534 | -$1,534 |
| $65 (-15%) | -$1,150 | -$1,150 | -$1,150 |
| $69 (-10%) | -$767 | -$767 | -$767 |
| $73 (-5%) | -$384 | -$384 | -$384 |
| $75 (-2%) | -$153 | -$153 | -$153 |
| $77 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $78 (+2%) | +$153 | +$153 | +$153 |
| $81 (+5%) | +$384 | +$384 | +$384 |
| $84 (+10%) | +$767 | +$767 | +$767 |
| $86 (+12%) โ target | +$930 | +$930 | +$930 |
| $88 (+15%) | +$1,150 | +$1,150 | +$1,150 |
| $92 (+20%) | +$1,534 | +$1,534 | +$1,534 |
Uses FTNT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.