Target Price Playground
GE
$308.35
๐ข
GE IV: 35.3% โ LOW
(-47.5% vs 30d avg of 67.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $270 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $310 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $19.7 ยท ฮ -0.49
SHORT PUT ยท $285 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.3 ยท ฮ -0.26
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GE hits $270 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$1,360 (119.4%) on $1,140 risked, vs $-3,835 (-12.4%) for 100 shares on $30,835. Options give 9.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GE is at $270. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GE hits $270 by Jun 19
+$1,360
+119.4% on $1,140 risked
Max Profit
+$1,360
If the stock โค $285 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,140
Net debit
Break-even
$298.60
-3.16% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
43%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-22.39 / 4.48 / 9.11
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GE Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $247 (-20%) | +$1,059 | +$1,166 | +$1,295 | +$1,360 |
| $262 (-15%) | +$832 | +$946 | +$1,132 | +$1,360 |
| $270 (-12%) โ target | +$690 | +$792 | +$979 | +$1,360 |
| $278 (-10%) | +$542 | +$624 | +$785 | +$1,360 |
| $293 (-5%) | +$219 | +$238 | +$279 | +$567 |
| $302 (-2%) | +$25 | +$2 | -$46 | -$358 |
| $308 (0%) โ spot | -$101 | -$149 | -$251 | -$975 |
| $315 (+2%) | -$220 | -$292 | -$437 | -$1,140 |
| $324 (+5%) | -$386 | -$485 | -$670 | -$1,140 |
| $339 (+10%) | -$620 | -$739 | -$929 | -$1,140 |
| $355 (+15%) | -$798 | -$912 | -$1,059 | -$1,140 |
| $370 (+20%) | -$924 | -$1,019 | -$1,113 | -$1,140 |
Uses GE's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.