Target Price Playground
GE
$308.35
๐ข
GE IV: 35.3% โ LOW
(-47.5% vs 30d avg of 67.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $335 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $308.35 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $335 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.2 ยท ฮ 0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GE hits $335 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$3,685 (12.4%) on $29,815 risked, vs +$2,665 (8.6%) for 100 shares on $30,835. Options give 1.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GE is at $335. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GE hits $335 by Jun 19
+$3,685
+12.4% on $29,815 risked
Max Profit
+$3,685
If the stock โฅ $335 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$29,815
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$298.15
-3.31% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
65.56 / 14.4 / -48.64
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GE Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $247 (-20%) | -$5,195 | -$5,159 | -$5,147 | -$5,147 |
| $262 (-15%) | -$3,734 | -$3,649 | -$3,608 | -$3,605 |
| $278 (-10%) | -$2,354 | -$2,197 | -$2,085 | -$2,063 |
| $293 (-5%) | -$1,099 | -$850 | -$619 | -$522 |
| $302 (-2%) | -$419 | -$117 | +$203 | +$403 |
| $308 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$335 | +$712 | +$1,020 |
| $315 (+2%) | +$390 | +$754 | +$1,184 | +$1,637 |
| $324 (+5%) | +$918 | +$1,315 | +$1,808 | +$2,562 |
| $335 (+9%) โ target | +$1,470 | +$1,888 | +$2,418 | +$3,685 |
| $339 (+10%) | +$1,651 | +$2,071 | +$2,603 | +$3,685 |
| $355 (+15%) | +$2,209 | +$2,615 | +$3,104 | +$3,685 |
| $370 (+20%) | +$2,616 | +$2,980 | +$3,378 | +$3,685 |
Uses GE's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.